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rlirph
64 Comments
Chinese Government Gives China Mobile Revenues to China Telecom
I would still invest in CHL because every one knows the government actions in the past have benefited the company greatly. Remember several years ago they exchange the senior management of China Mobile with China Unicom? Many actions like this are politically motivated to appease other factions in the government.
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Quite a Reversal - China Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates
Shanghai Should Continue to Sell Off
Maany years ago all companies are government owned (state owned enterprises, SOE). After all it is a communist country. A company will have shares, owned by different government agencies. The shares were not tradeable.
In 1979 the government started to reform the economy to a more market approach economy. Some companies were allowed to convert some of their shares to be freely tradeable, while a bulk of them were
still not freely tradeable.
Four years ago the government instituted a number of measures to make all the shares tradeable. They set a time table to make all shares tradeable in three years. This is similar to the lock up periods of the IPOs. Unfortunately the amount of restricted shares is more than the entire market capitalization of both the Shanghai and Shenzhen market.
At this rate it will be 2010 before all the restricted shares become fully tradeable.
Shanghai Should Continue to Sell Off
An Often Unmentioned Factor About Chinese Stocks
One cannot use Yahoo Finance PE ratio to determine the market premium between the A shares in mainland China and H shares in Hong Kong. The reason is that data from Yahoo Finance is not always accurate!
For example China Life yesterday closed at RMB$24.02 in China and
at HK$29.50 in Hong Kong. After adjusting for currency China Life is only trading at 92.3% in China vs in Hong Kong.
For example PetroChina yesterday closed at RMB$11.36 in China versus HK$9.65 in Hong Kong. After adjusting difference in currency the premium of PetroChina is 34.3% in China, not 78% as the author claimed.
Yesterday the Hang Seng AH premium index stood at 106.49 which means the A shares as presented by the 50 stocks in the index is 6.5%
more expensive than its H share siblings.
Finally I like to point out that China Mobile is listed in Hong Kong and not in China which makes the comparison between its A share and H share valuation moot.
You can review the datat Hong Kong Hang Seng Bank:
www.hsi.com.cn/hsicn/e...
China's Hepatitis B Market to Double by 2012
There are many many hepatitis patients in both Taiwan and Hong Kong for reasons mentioned above.
China's Hepatitis B Market to Double by 2012
However one must also consider the cost of these medications. In the US those pegylated interferons cost the pharmacy about US$900-$1200 per month. Even if the manufacturers are willing to take a mark down, may be to 25% of the US cost, it still represents a major expense for most Chinese households.
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one fifth of that of US.
Chinese Hegemonic Effect Overtakes U.S.? Not So Fast
We have problems such as the twin deficits, social security funding, and oil dependence for the past 40 years; yet our government leaders knowingly have not been doing anything about these problems. Worse yet we the voters have not held our elected officials accountable. We are letting our next generation pay for our mistakes...
China: Real Estate Loan Growth May Be Slowing
Most real estate loans in China for all practical purposes are the equivalent of the US 'no doc' loans. Information submitted with exception of bank accounts deposits are generally fraudulent. Last year banks were focusing on the 'points' of mortgages. Without those points banks could not be as profitable as they were.
With declining real estate prices there were evidences that some borrowers have stopped making payments. With more real estate in foreclosure bank owned properties will enter the market which will further depress the housing value. It is a similar picture of what US is going through except it is about nine months behind.
With high inflation rate, declining real estate value, I am not sure that I would put money in the stock market at this time.